Mercury vs Aces Winner
These two teams are at opposite ends of the WNBA standings in 2023. The Las Vegas Aces have been scorching hot to start the season, sitting at 10-1 with a league-best net rating.
Phoenix has won only two of its first 10 games and has the worst net rating in the league. They have lost their last four games by double digits.
There isn’t much room for debate here. The Aces are massive favourites and rightly so. We expect them to win comfortably.
Handicap Predictions
The spread is set at 19.5 for this contest, which is a massive number for a WNBA game. Away favourites have covered the spread in only 33.3% of games so far this season.
Las Vegas are no strangers to blowout wins, though, as reflected by their outrageous +19.4 net rating. They have already won five games by 20 or more points this season.
It might seem ambitious to back the Aces -19.5, but the Mercury have gone 3-7 against the spread this season.
Total Points Scored Predictions
The total is set at 164.5 for this one. The under has hit in over 54% of non-overtime games this season, and Phoenix have seen the overland just four times in their 10 outings.
These Aces like to push the pace. Phoenix is the slowest team in the league, however, and they have gone under this number in both of their last two.
Las Vegas is poised to dominate here. We expect them to win by a big margin. With an elite defence, the Aces should be able to stifle the Mercury’s offence, leading to a relatively low-scoring game. Take the under.
Prop Bets Predictions
Two-time MVP A’ja Wilson inevitably catches the eye when looking at the available player props. Wilson has been immense to start this season, and should be able to put up some big numbers against Phoenix.
Wilson has had 26 rebounds over her last two games. Matching up with the worst rebounding team in the league, look for the 2018 first overall pick to go over 10.5 here.
After dropping 27 against the Liberty, we also like the look of Sophie Cunningham to score over 17.5 points. Phoenix’s injuries mean Cunningham is set for a bigger offensive role. She’s gone over this line in two of her last three games.
Our Analysis of the Mercury vs Aces Game
The Phoenix Mercury are having a difficult season. Injuries to Brittney Griner and Diana Taurasi leave them without their two leading scorers and at a severe talent deficit against these Las Vegas Aces. Skylar Diggins-Smith remains out after giving birth to her second child.
Las Vegas’ lone loss this season came against the Eastern Conference champion Connecticut Sun. They have made light work of inferior opposition, blowing teams away with their combination of versatile defence and offensive firepower.
Top Scorers Predictions for Mercury vs Aces
With Griner and Taurasi sidelined, Sophie Cunningham is projected to be the Phoenix Mercury’s leading scorer after draining five threes in her previous game. Only one other Mercury player averages in double digits.
Bookies give Jackie Young the highest points line among the Aces, but their offence has plenty of options. A’ja Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Young have all top scored for the Aces multiple times this season, while Chelsea Gray scored 17 last time out.
Unstoppable Aces Heading For 11th Win
The Phoenix Mercury would not stand much of a chance in this game even if they were healthy. With Griner and Taurasi both out, they have almost no hope against an Aces team which has the best rating on both offence and defence.
Las Vegas has excelled across the board this season. Champions in 2022 under former Spurs assistant Becky Hammon, the Aces are favourites to defend their crown in 2023, led by the elite play of Wilson, Plum, Young and Gray.
Last results of the teams
Phoenix Mercury Recent Results
- New York Liberty 89-71 Phoenix Mercury
- Washington Mystics 88-69 Phoenix Mercury
- Phoenix Mercury 69-83 Seattle Storm
- Indiana Fever 82-85 Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces Recent Results
- Las Vegas Aces 93-62 Minnesota Lynx
- Las Vegas Aces 96-63 Seattle Storm
- Las Vegas Aces 93-80 Chicago Sky
- Connecticut Sun 94-77 Las Vegas Aces
Mercury vs Aces Odds
- Phoenix Mercury to win– 12.75 at Betking
- Las Vegas Aces – 1.01 at Betking
