Our betting expert provides Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea predictions for this Round of 16 match in the AFCON on Sunday, January 28th.
Equatorial Guinea stunned Ivory Coast and claimed their place in the knockout stages of this competition by handing the hosts a shocking 4-0 thrashing. Guinea secured their place, despite a 2-0 defeat to the reigning champions, Senegal.
Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea Predictions & Tips
- Equatorial Guinea Or Draw Double Chance @ 1.62 with Bet9ja
- Over 2 in Over/Under Asian @ 1.83 with Bet9ja
- GG in Goal / No Goal @ 2.08 with Bet9ja
- 2nd the Highest Scoring Half @ 2.15 with Bet9ja
- Emilio Nsue To Score At Anytime @ 5.00 with bet365
- Equatorial Guinea to win either half @ 2.50 with bet365
- Equatorial Guinea to score a penalty @ 9.00 with bet365
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Equatorial Guinea to upset the odds once again
Looking at the odds in the winner’s market for this tie, I was a little surprised to see Guinea as the relatively strong favourite with Bet9ja. Equatorial Guinea are ranked 88th in the FIFA World Rankings, with their opponents just eight places higher.
The key here is Equatorial Guinea coming into this Round of 16 clash after a resounding 4-0 victory over Ivory Coast. The tournament hosts are ranked 49th in the world. This was followed by a 4-2 win against Guinea-Bissau. With no head-to-head stats to go off, I am happy to rely on the current form.
We can take the Draw No Bet here, and still more than double our stake if Equatorial Guinea win. A full refund is assured if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes.
Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea Predictions Bet 1: Equatorial Guinea Draw No Bet @ 2.55 with Bet9ja
Evergreen Nsue to make opponents pay
Amongst a host of attacking talent, Emilio Nsue has emerged as the unlikely hotshot of AFCON 2023. Nigeria are the only side to have kept him off the scoresheet in the Group A opener.
The 34-year-old, who plays in the Spanish third tier, scored a hat-trick against Guinea-Bissau. This was followed by two more strikes in the memorable defeat of Ivory Coast.
Having scored the first AFCON hat-trick since 2008 and becoming the oldest player ever to do so, his aim will be to add to his tally here. With his nearest rival for the Golden Boot trailing with three goals, Nsue has a fantastic opportunity to increase his advantage.
Bet 2: Emilio Nsue To Score At Anytime @ 5.00 with bet365
Low goal line looks appealing
Considering Equatorial Guinea’s three games have seen 12 goals so far, it is a little surprising to see the goal line set at 2.00 here. I’m pushing that line a little higher to add to my tips and selecting over 2.25 goals as one of my predictions.
Both sides have only kept one clean sheet in the tournament so far. They have combined to score in five of their six matches played. Equatorial Guinea had the best attack at AFCON, scoring nine goals.
The group stages saw 89 goals from the 36 matches at an average of 2.47 per game. The nature of knockout competition means a single goal could open the tie-up. This bet will only lose in full if there are fewer than two goals.
Bet 3: Over 2.25 in Over/Under Asian @ 2.10 with Bet9ja
Expect a slow burner in Abidjan
A place in the quarter-finals can’t be won in the first half of these ties, but you can go a long way towards losing it. This leads us to expect a tight start, with games opening up in the second half.
We saw this in the Group stages with 56 (63%) of the 89 goals coming after the break. In the last AFCON tournament, there were only 12 goals in the Round of 16, with just four coming in the first half.
Both these sides saw their last two group games feature more goals after the interval. Odds of 2.15 for more goals in the second half here look decent value and that is the last of my predictions.
Bet 4: 2nd the Highest Scoring Half @ 2.15 with Bet9ja
